Trends in temperature (maximum and minimum), diurnal temperature range over Anand (middle Gujarat): A case study
Temperature and DTR trends over Anand, Gujarat
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21921/jas.v12i04.15261Keywords:
Temperature, Diurnal temperature range, Trend, Mann-Kendall test, Sen’s slopeAbstract
Attempts have been made to study the temporal variations and trends in monthly, seasonal and annual temperature over Anand (middle Gujarat). Analysis has been carried for four temperature indices, namely - minimum temperature (Tmin), maximum temperature (Tmax), mean temperature (Tmean) and diurnal temperature range (DTR). Non-parametric Mann-Kendall (MK) test was used to detect the trends and the magnitude of the trends were determined with Sen’s estimator of slope. The analysis of the temperature data revealed significant increasing trends in Tmin, Tmax and Tmean variables at the station on annual scale, while decreasing trend in DTR was significant over Anand only. All the Tmean values also show increasing trends a significant decreasing trend in January over Anand (0.01089 °C/year). The increasing trends in Tmean are statistically significant from March to May at Anand. Similar to Tmin index, the trends in Tmean are also largest in December. The increase in Tmean has been detected during the period of study at Anand respectively. At Anand station, the statistically significant fall in DTR are observed in the January. During the period of study, Anand witnessed a fall of 1.7 °C and 1.5 °C in DTR values in the month of December and January respectively. Monthly DTR values between Februarys to November months are mainly non- significant decreasing (increasing) over Anand.
References
Abaurrea J and Cerian A C. 2001. Trend and variability analysis of rainfall series and their extreme events. http://metodosestadisticos.unizar.es/personales/acebrian/publica ciones/AbCeSPRIN.pdf.
Chahal S S. 2010. Climate Change: Challenges and Researchable Issues for Agricultural Sustainability.
University News 48(24): 73-79.
Dash S K, Jenamani R K, Kalsi S R and Panda S K. 2007. Some evidence of climate change in twentieth-century India. Climatic Change 85: 299-321.
IPCC. 2001. Impacts, adapation and vulnerability. IPCC, Cambridge university Press, UK.
Jones P D, New M, Parker D E, Martin S and Rigor I G. 1999. Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years. Reviews of Geophysics 37: 173-199.
Jain S K and Kumar V. 2012. Trend analysis of rainfall and temperature data for India. Current Science 102(1): 37-49.
Jain S K, Vijay K and Saharia M. 2012. Analysis of rainfall and temperature trends in northeast India. International Journal of Climatology 33(4): 968-978.
Jhajharia D and Singh V P. 2011. Trends in temperature, diurnal temperature range and sunshine duration in northeast India. International Journal of Climatology 31(9): 1353-1367.
Karl T R and Trenberth K E. 2003. Modern global climate change. Science 302: 1719-1723.
Kendall M G. 1975. Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin: London, UK.
Laskar S I, Kotal S D and Roy B S K. 2014. Analysis of rainfall and temperature trends of selected stations over Northeast India during last century. Mausam 65(4): 497-508.
Mann M E, Park J and Bradley R S. 1995. Global inter-decadal and century scale oscillations during the past five centuries. Nature 378: 266-270.
Mann H B. 1945. Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13: 245-259.
Roy S S and Balling R C. 2005. Analysis of trends in maximum and minimum temperature, diurnal temperature range and cloud cover over India. Geophysical Research Letters 32: L12702. DOI:10.1029/2004GL022201.
Sen P K. 1968. Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall's tau. Journal of the American statistical association 63(324): 1379-1389.
WMO. 1966. Climate Change, WMO Tech. Note No. 79: 80.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Sachin Shrikant Chinchorkar

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Publisher and Authors